The debtdeflation theory of great depressions by irving fisher. Following the stock market crash of 1929 and the ensuing great depression, fisher developed a. His debtdeflation theory of great depressions 1933 was powerful and resonant, although largely neglected by officialdom, wall street and academia alike. Minsky archive levy economics institute of bard college 4201994 the debt deflation theory of great depressions. The debt deflation theory was familiar to john maynard keynes prior to fishers discussion of it, but he found it lacking in comparison to what would become his theory of liquidity preference. Irving fisher developed his debtdeflation theory of depressions in his. Fishers early 1930s debtdeflation theory of depressions is characterized by one central epistemic feature.
Debt deflation is a concept that pertains to debt s effects on the price of properties, goods and services. A situation in which the collateral used to secure a loan or another form of debt decreases in value. This idea reached its best exposition in his 1933 article the debt deflation theory of. The debtdeflation theory of great depressions paperback may 2, 2016. The debtdeflation theory of great depressions title fraser. The debtdeflation theory of great depressions in order to view this pdf, you must have javascript enabled in your browser. Debt deflation is a theory that recessions and depressions are due to the overall level of debt. Irving fisher, debt deflation and crises by request pdf. This article reconsiders, in the light of the current financial turmoil, irving fishers 1911 theory of financial crises and his 1933 debtdeflation theory of great depressions. During the great depression, fisher provided the hoover and roosevelt administrations with much advice largely unsolicited about the need for what fisher termed reflation. Fishers debtdeflation theory of great depressions and a. The debtdeflation theory of great depressions by irving fisher introductory in booms and depressions, i have developed, theoretically and statistically, what may be called a debtdeflation theory of great depressions. Fisher made his debtdeflation theory about depressions based on just three observations, the depression of 183741, the depression of 187379, and the depression that he was living through, that began in 1929.
During the depths of the great depression in the united states, fisher 1933 put forward what he called the debtdeflation theory of great depressions. Fishers 1933 article the debtdeflation theory of great depressions sets out a monetary the ory of how financial distress exacerbates deflation. In the preface, i stated that the results seem largely new, i spoke thus cautiously because of my unfamiliarity with the vast. Irving fisher offered a tentative debtdeflation theory of great depressions rather than a fully. He apparently thought that the depression of the 1890s did not rank in severity enough to be included in the list. Despite the absence of falling prices today, this paper argues that a modified debtdeflation. Cot, the debtdeflation theory of great depressions. Debtdeflation theory of great depressions fraser st. The theory was developed by irving fisher following the wall street crash of 1929 and the ensuing great depression. What links here related changes upload file special pages permanent link page. James tobin cited fisher as instrumental in his theory of economic instability. The debtdeflation theory of great depressions fraser. Fishers theory raised too many uncomfortable questions about the roles played by the federal reserve, wall street and washington in propagating the conditions for credit excess and the.
Wolfson the essence of irving fishers debtdeflation theory was an interactive process whereby falling commodity prices increased the debt burden of borrowers. In 1933, irving fisher, possibly the first celebrity economist, published his paper titled the debtdeflation theory of great depressions, a thorough reading of which should be required by anyone who wants to talk intelligently about our current crisis. Irving fisher on debt, deflation, and depression seeking. Borrowers will typically experience decreasing property values from debt deflation which can lead to many negative repercussions. You can find the book as a pdf on the internet, but i found it much easier to take in as a printed version. In booms and depressions, i have developed, theoretically and sta tistically, what may be called a debtdeflation theory of great depres sions.
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